BACKGROUND & AIMS:

Several lines of evidence suggest that the hemostatic disorders of cirrhosis may have a significant clinical impact. We investigated the independent predictive value of components of the hemostatic system on the occurrence of ascites, variceal bleeding (VB), and survival.

METHODS:

One hundred and two patients with thrombocytopenia (Child-Pugh class A/B/C: 34/34/34) were enrolled. Platelet counts, factors (F) II, V, VII, and VIII, antithrombin, protein C (PC), FVIII-to-PC ratio as an index of procoagulant imbalance, von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF-Ag), and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) were evaluated. Two multivariate analyses were performed: one excluding (model 1) and one including MELD (model 2).

RESULTS:

Higher vWF-Ag levels and FVIII-to-PC ratios were the most prominent hemostatic disorders in patients with cirrhosis. Increased levels of vWF-Ag and FVIII, and higher FVIII-to-PC ratios independently predicted the presence of ascites and varices at baseline. Independent predictors of ascites and VB during follow-up were vWF-Ag (model 1/2: p=0.001/p=0.009 and p=0.008/p=0.01, respectively) and FVIII-to-PC ratio (model 1/2: p=0.003/p=0.02 and p=0.01/p=0.03, respectively). vWF-Ag (model 1/2: p=0.007/p=0.002), FVIII-to-PC ratio (model 1/2: p=0.001/p=0.01), and MELD (p=0.02) independently predicted mortality. Patient groups with significantly higher probability of new-onset ascites, VB, and mortality were identified by certain cut-offs of vWF-Ag (213%, 466%, and 321%, respectively) and FVIII-to-PC ratio (1.99, 3.29, and 2.36, respectively). vWF-Ag and FVIII-to-PC ratio equaled MELD in mortality prediction.

CONCLUSIONS:

Advanced cirrhosis is characterized by increased thrombotic potential. vWF-Ag and FVIII-to-PC ratio independently predict new-onset ascites, VB, and mortality. Targeting hypercoagulability could improve the outcome of patients with cirrhosis.